Pivot Point Trading the Forex
What Pivot Points Are and How to Use Them
You may hear that one of the handier tools in a forex trader’s
toolbox is a Pivot
Point calculator. Pivot points
are one of the commonly used triggers for trading systems. If you’re
new to the Forex market, though, you may be foggy on exactly what
pivot points are and what they can mean to your trading.
In a nutshell, Pivot Points are exactly what they sound like –
the point at which the market is expected to turn – if it’s been
going down, a pivot point is the value at which it will reverse the
trend and begin to climb. If it’s been rising, then the pivot point
is where the sentiment of the traders will turn and begin a downward
trend. Obviously, being able to predict major movements in the money
market is a valuable skill, since it hints at the where the market
is moving and whether or not this is the time to trade or stick.
Forex Pivot Point trading is an especially
popular method of mapping out a trading strategy. It was originally
used by floor traders in the stock market who liked it because it
allowed them to gauge where the market was heading with just a few
simple bits of information and calculations. By knowing the high,
low, opening and closing points from the previous day, they could
calculate a point at which the market had ‘turned’ to head upward or
downward. Pivot points can help predict where the market is going –
and coupled with the resistance and support points, give you an idea
how far in that direction it will go.
There are a number of ways to calculate the pivot points for the
day, but the most common – and easiest – is to average the opening,
closing and high points for the last day’s trading. There are other
pivot points that can be calculated from those numbers as well.
Before we talk about how to calculate them and what they mean, let’s
define a few terms:
Pivot point – the point where the market
reverses a current trend
Resistance – A high point in a Forex market
chart that recurs regularly. Generally, it’s the point where the
currency market will begin a downturn.
Support – A low point in the Forex market chart
that recurs regularly. Generally, it’s the point where the currency
market will begin to climb back up.
Traditionally, support and resistance points are difficult to
break through. Most of the time as the numbers approach that level;
there will be a slight rebound in the other direction. An
interesting phenomenon is that once a resistance or support point is
broken, it tends to switch sides – a broken resistance will often
become a support for prices on the other side of the line.
The most common calculation for arriving at a pivot
point is:
Pivot: (High + Close + Low)/3
Resistance: 2 * Pivot – Low
Support: 2 * Pivot – High
USD/EUR Date:02/03/06 14:40 O=0.83174 H=0.83188 L=0.83167
C=0.83188
Given this data for Feb 3, 2006, the pivot points for Feb 4, 2006
would look like this:
Pivot: 0.83180
Resistance: 0.83193
Support: 0.83172
Those numbers give me some points on which to base my strategy
for the day. If the market opens above the pivot point, it’s a bull
market, and most advisors would go for long trades, since the
direction of the market is up. If it opens below pivot, it’s time to
favor short trades and quick sales.
There are two common strategies using pivot, resistance and
support points.
Breakout Trade: When a currency pair breaks
through a resistance or support point, there’s usually a surge of
activity around it. Buy if the charts show a break through a
resistance, sell if the rate drops below a support point.
Pullback Trade: When the exchange rate drops
back from a high, most traders will buy, based on other information
that’s available. It’s a tricky move, though, since the pullback
could just be a temporary pause in the upward momentum, or the
beginning of a downward rebound.
Using pivot points to inform your strategy in day trading is a
complex subject. These basics can help you understand what you’re
reading when starting.
For more in-dept information visit Professional
trader and author
Peter Bain's Video Forex Course that demonstrates simple
yet powerful Pivot Currency trading systems used by
professional traders. |